Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.736007 0.945961 1.182074 1.464079 1.788563 2.147229 2.570614
2025-03-16 0.445160 0.704795 1.035244 1.471820 2.018971 2.668508 3.484177
2025-03-23 0.302613 0.588955 0.997660 1.585343 2.372300 3.356237 4.645605
2025-03-30 0.199283 0.485571 0.944653 1.658703 2.671378 3.992775 5.783727
2025-04-06 0.124529 0.392172 0.877520 1.691894 2.908655 4.556355 6.853736
2025-04-13 0.067817 0.297357 0.778161 1.652846 3.029911 4.962510 7.729446
2025-04-20 0.038045 0.238897 0.722678 1.667726 3.221750 5.466049 8.746417
2025-04-27 0.020007 0.192962 0.675240 1.683846 3.409428 5.965239 9.768266
2025-05-04 0.007640 0.143172 0.599608 1.633386 3.481533 6.294254 10.559079
2025-05-11 0.001951 0.103063 0.527814 1.573913 3.527629 6.579780 11.290492
2025-05-18 0.000381 0.081116 0.493983 1.582116 3.683812 7.031981 12.267402
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.058174 0.442696 1.542282 3.749644 7.343921 13.045466
2025-06-01 NaN 0.051880 0.448433 1.633388 4.060153 8.055806 14.439838
2025-06-08 NaN 0.038713 0.417459 1.633673 4.204440 8.510815 15.467834
2025-06-15 NaN 0.036311 0.433789 1.751071 4.573137 9.334713 17.062491
2025-06-22 NaN 0.031340 0.433864 1.827204 4.866840 10.045186 18.500680
2025-06-29 NaN 0.024738 0.418810 1.861433 5.080802 10.630951 19.761334
2025-07-06 NaN 0.016097 0.378234 1.819148 5.140973 10.964371 20.644170
2025-07-13 NaN 0.011673 0.359927 1.834708 5.315137 11.489145 21.826471
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008304 0.343388 1.851740 5.491435 12.019804 23.024297
2025-07-27 NaN 0.004434 0.306350 1.797817 5.516198 12.292983 23.826600
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001945 0.269563 1.734278 5.513979 12.517021 24.553326
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001045 0.255269 1.743017 5.666552 13.010766 25.709795